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Ukrainians Are Confident in War Outcome and Their Nation’s Future

people walking near steeple, building, tower and spire in Kyiv, Ukraine
NORC conducted surveys in Ukraine between 2022 and 2023
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  • Dates
    July 2022, September 2022, April 2023

Ukrainians are confident about the outcome of the Russia-Ukraine war, according to polls conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago in July and September 2022 and April 2023. Confidence in the Ukrainian’s army’s chances of driving out Russia has increased more than a year after the Russian invasion begun.

The polls found that over a third of Ukrainians experience a loss of work or decrease in regular income within their family in the first six months of the Russian invasion and a similar percentage experienced family separation. One in ten respondents reported having experienced loss or life or health within their family.

A majority of Ukrainians favor using only their language in government institutions and for teaching in schools. Most Russian speaking Ukrainians, however, favor recognizing minority or regional languages in areas of the country where more than 10% of the population speak that language, a previously existing policy that had been scrapped in 2014, after the pro-EU Euromaidan uprisings.

Most Ukrainians favor integrating with the European Union and NATO membership is clearly favored over neutrality with security guarantees. Ukrainians have favorable opinions of personalities and events related to independence and nationalism, with 78% of Ukrainian speakers and 51% Russian speakers saying Stepan Bandera had mostly positive contribution to the country’s history, and independence from the Soviet Union lauded by even greater majorities.

The polls were funded by NORC at the University of Chicago. Phone data were collected by the local agency Info Sapiens using random samples of 1,000 Ukrainians aged 16 and older in July of 2022 and April of 2023. NORC also surveyed 1,245 Ukrainians via online opt-in panels in September 2022.

Learn More About the Project

For more information about NORC's surveys in Ukraine from 2022-2023, download the issue brief. 

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