2022 WSJ/NORC Ukraine Poll


In a poll of Ukrainians approximately four months after the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, the Wall Street Journal and NORC find that more than half of those surveyed report that they personally know someone who has been killed in the conflict or lost a family member. Three out of four Ukrainians know someone who had to move from their home during the fighting. Younger adults aged 18-29 are more likely than older adults aged 60 and over to both know someone who lost a family member or who was killed or was forced to leave home.

Two-thirds of Ukrainians have personally experienced some impact of the war, with decreases in regular income, loss of work, family separation, and total loss of income the most frequently reported. Few have personally experienced loss or destruction of property, failure to receive medication, or loss of life or health.

Two-thirds are experiencing at least one personal impact of the war

Ukrainians are generally optimistic about the outcome of the conflict. Two thirds of those surveyed believe that Ukraine will succeed in driving Russia out of the territories they have occupied since the start of the conflict and more than half believe they will be successful in driving Russia out of all Ukrainian territory, including the whole of Donbas and Crimea. About one in five think neither side will succeed and there will be a prolonged struggle, while very few believe that a ceasefire will occur that allows Russia to retain occupied parts of southern Ukraine and Donbas.

Most Ukrainians are unwilling to achieve peace by granting Russia control over some parts of their territory. A large majority of those surveyed believe it would be unacceptable to grant Russia control over territory occupied by Russia before February 24th and 89% say the same about territories occupied by Russia after the start of the invasion. Those who have been significantly impacted by the war are slightly more likely to say it would be acceptable to grant Russia control over some parts of Ukrainian territory occupied before February 24th than those who have not been impacted thus far.

Funded by the Wall Street Journal and conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago, the survey featured a sample of adults 18 years and older and yielded phone interviews of 1,005 Ukrainians between June 9 and June 13, 2022.

Read the Wall Street Journal story here: https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-new-poll-89-of-ukrainians-reject-ceding-land-to-reach-peace-with-russia-11656504002

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